Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 37.238233 42.771578 48.743041 55.653641 63.417596 71.857425 81.712691
2024-12-15 28.231602 36.056549 45.294685 56.942283 71.166207 87.897361 108.987097
2024-12-22 20.965958 29.244163 39.764896 53.976263 72.510446 95.683329 126.641944
2024-12-29 17.768767 26.640138 38.608923 55.690484 79.148414 109.895309 152.838146
2025-01-05 15.807119 25.225127 38.598791 58.594012 87.262596 126.331540 182.912096
2025-01-12 13.142546 22.296375 35.958390 57.318412 89.223818 134.325355 201.886591
2025-01-19 10.736164 19.331864 32.792634 54.755419 88.854364 138.735475 215.833724
2025-01-26 10.050459 18.991930 33.546074 58.113391 97.436943 156.521487 250.092632
2025-02-02 9.765464 19.263289 35.260755 63.081098 108.808876 179.123862 292.830980
2025-02-09 8.770541 18.131373 34.493994 63.876589 113.560302 191.856466 321.291223
2025-02-16 7.773219 16.839107 33.279523 63.746794 116.707711 202.175706 346.496799
2025-02-23 6.838864 15.520640 31.846903 63.051495 118.771418 210.780835 369.348846
2025-03-02 6.099034 14.526687 30.979981 63.436360 122.993934 223.644578 400.689646
2025-03-09 5.458287 13.648160 30.247090 64.031741 127.712175 237.793568 435.316132
2025-03-16 4.488322 11.882064 27.535500 60.568301 124.774464 238.659441 447.656146
2025-03-23 4.153476 11.493707 27.564906 62.428661 131.790728 257.230330 491.345351
2025-03-30 3.964926 11.418983 28.238143 65.631718 141.574974 281.279508 545.896850
2025-04-06 3.437438 10.412074 26.755284 64.219500 142.270354 288.898701 571.702559
2025-04-13 2.886533 9.232647 24.716897 61.384124 139.854509 290.549617 586.732680
2025-04-20 2.815202 9.329588 25.645857 65.098098 150.988994 318.255067 650.954271
2025-04-27 2.845519 9.716260 27.306998 70.588088 166.166836 354.464375 732.703607
2025-05-04 2.612150 9.301187 26.958945 71.466744 171.705841 372.348672 780.863000
2025-05-11 2.351863 8.754142 26.207480 71.323386 175.027455 386.044289 821.693760